Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.127369 0.190459 0.263698 0.352513 0.455164 0.568285 0.700714
2025-11-30 0.049982 0.121934 0.223215 0.362016 0.536928 0.742198 0.994526
2025-12-07 0.017452 0.081318 0.191262 0.357414 0.579501 0.850358 1.192635
2025-12-14 0.002266 0.048708 0.157325 0.340507 0.599826 0.927196 1.350713
2025-12-21 0.000095 0.039902 0.157771 0.369412 0.677927 1.073918 1.591804
2025-12-28 NaN 0.033256 0.159313 0.398396 0.755301 1.219388 1.831407
2026-01-04 NaN 0.024934 0.153485 0.413729 0.812585 1.338480 2.038099
2026-01-11 NaN 0.023221 0.162456 0.453134 0.903881 1.501791 2.300195
2026-01-18 NaN 0.019818 0.165453 0.481841 0.979651 1.644868 2.537179
2026-01-25 NaN 0.013105 0.154928 0.485448 1.018174 1.738564 2.711871
2026-02-01 NaN 0.004514 0.126777 0.453040 1.001164 1.757061 2.790292
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000316 0.097882 0.412902 0.968823 1.752510 2.837382
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.083053 0.399438 0.978547 1.807661 2.965441
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.078718 0.408384 1.024125 1.913011 3.159944
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.069458 0.403787 1.046746 1.985753 3.311358
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.056121 0.385652 1.045564 2.024311 3.417476
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.061109 0.416523 1.126910 2.179770 3.677867
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.066067 0.447381 1.208365 2.335569 3.938959
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.065795 0.463685 1.265173 2.456485 4.154173
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.074612 0.505503 1.365533 2.639508 4.451715
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.079333 0.535908 1.446571 2.795197 4.713332
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.074588 0.539725 1.482382 2.886663 4.890204
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.057715 0.505404 1.451536 2.882306 4.939688